the poll changed, likely voters and romney-ryan ticket with one-point lead within the margin of error. among independent voters changed significantly. 44 to 3 #%, there you see. that is a big shift. steve, as promised, your thoughts on how the race has shifted as we get ready to head to danville, kentucky, tomorrow for the vice presidential debate? >> i think, evidence in the president's meants right there. i think they don't know how to answer this debate surge that romney has had. it's been a surge. it looks like sustained surge. you seen the white house scram to believe come up with an answer. first they said he was too conservative, then a flip-floper and then it was about big bird and he wasn't serious, this was an attempt to go after the deficit, he wasn't serious; whereas, they spent most of the campaign arguing that ryan and romney were radical, they wanted to overturn medicare, redo medicare. they just can't find their footing on solid argument so they are going back to the arguement that romney is a liar. the media amplified it. but it's not convincing argument when you have